Низкий уровень управляемости

Низкий уровень управляемости отдельных аспектов научно-технического прогресса, а также тот факт, что достижения науки и техники на определенном этапе сливаются со своими материальными носителями, вносят существенные различия в объекты научно-технического прогнозирования и планирования, делая первые существенно шире вторых. Вряд ли возможно, например, планирование достижений фундаментальной науки, но их предвидение необходимо. Очевидно также, что планирование повышения производительности труда или снижения энергоемкости производства входит в задачи соответствующих разделов планирования производства и его отраслей, тогда как для целей прогнозирования здесь могут быть выделены свои научно-технические аспекты, рассматриваемые самостоятельно. Поэтому если объект прогнозирования научно-технического прогресса определяется лишь возможностями его познания и предвидения, то объект его планирования — еще и возможностями принятия соответствующих решений в условиях сложившейся структуры управления и организации народного хозяйства

Отдельные направления научно-технического прогресса, если рассматривать их с позиций экономических, складываются как взаимодействие реальных технических уровней производства в отраслях и сферах труда и тех общественных потребностей, удовлетворение которых является конечным результатом развития соответствующих отраслей и производств. Если потребности, уже сложившиеся или новые, могут удовлетворяться путем количественного роста производства при его неизменном техническом уровне, то научно-технический прогресс не выступает здесь как источник расширенного воспроизводства. В таком случае растущие потребности удовлетворяются за счет экстенсивного увеличения вовлекаемых в производство трудовых и материальных ресурсов.

 

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