Разработка комплексной программы

Поэтому при разработке Комплексной программы используются два встречных подхода: оценка социально-экономических последствий научно-технического прогресса, с одной стороны, и выявление задач, которые ставит перед наукой и техникой развитие народного хозяйства,— с другой. Первый подход превалирует при согласовании научно-технических и социально-экономических аспектов Комплексной программы на среднесрочный период, а значение второго подхода резко возрастает при переходе к долгосрочным проблемам научно-технического прогресса.

Взаимодействие двух названных выше подходов может быть пояснено па следующем примере. Обеспечение долгосрочных потребностей народного хозяйства в топливе и энергии требует дальнейшего прогресса в их производстве и одновременно в их потреблении. При существующих научно-технических заделах и в условиях ограниченности запасов качественного топлива (прежде всего нефти) рост производства энергии может замедлиться, что при сложившихся тенденциях энергопотребления может привести к снижению темпов экономического роста. Тем самым необходимы такие изменения в технологии производства, которые бы резко снизили удельное энергопотребление. Следовательно, при подготовке Комплексной программы должны одновременно учитываться как имеющиеся в топливно-энергетическом комплексе научные разработки, проектные и технические заделы, так и дополнительные требования к экономии энергии, а значит, и к научно-техническому прогрессу, которые вытекают из будущих объективных условий развития народного хозяйства.

Объективная обусловленность научно-технических сдвигов складывается, как уже отмечалось, в тех звеньях народного хозяйства, где возникает разрыв между потребностями и ресурсами, как существующими, так и предвидимыми. Такие узлы несбалансированности могут быть связаны и с недостатками планирования и хозяйственного механизма.

 

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