Судьба Вселенной

Все астрономы согласны с тем, что сейчас Вселенная расширяется медленнее, чем это было, скажем, 10 млрд. лет назад. В то время, как расположенные по соседству галактики удаляются друг от друга со скоростью, пропорциональной расстоянию между ними, это соотношение для наиболее удаленных галактик не выполняется; они разбегаются быстрее, чем этого можно было бы ожидать, зная расстояния между ними. Отсюда следует, что расширение замедляется, поскольку мы наблюдаем далекие галактики такими, какими они были миллиарды лет назад: именно за это время свет от них достигает Земли. Судьба Вселенной зависит от того, насколько изменилась за это время скорость ее расширения. Если замедление достаточно велико, то можно предположить, что когда-то Вселенная перестанет расширяться и начнет сжиматься. Для того чтобы измерить величину замедления, необходимо точно знать скорости космических объектов и расстояние до них; тогда скорость расширения будет просто равна отношению этих величин. Известно, что скорость удаления источника света можно определить по красному смешению его спектра. Значительно сложнее определить с достаточной точностью космологические расстояния; именно в решении этой проблемы и могут помочь наблюдения сверхновых.

Классический метод нахождения космологических расстояний был предложен в 20-х годах нашего столетия Э. Хабблом, который обнаружил красное смещение в спектрах галактик. В этом методе расстояние до удаленного источника света определяется путем сравнения его наблюдаемого блеска с блеском расположенного поблизости аналогичного источника, расстояние до которого известно; при этом предполагается, что собственная светимость данного объекта совпадает со светимостью объекта, расстояние до которого надо определить. Объекты, для которых предполагается, что их светимость одинакова и не зависит от расстояния до них, называют эталонными источниками. Для измерения все возрастающих расстояний астрономы использовали набор эталонных источников, состоящий из наиболее ярких звезд различных галактик. При этом получается шкала, которую можно назвать «лестницей Хаббла»: каждая последующая величина в ней вычисляется по предыдущей.

 

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